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Criterion
Paper illustration of Three Horizons with its method-specific working model.
Business Strategy
Three Horizons
Growth Experiment workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Growth
Growth Experiment
Paper illustration for Smoke Test.
Product Discovery
Smoke Test
A/B Testing workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Growth
A/B Testing
Purposedifferent
Three Horizons helps clarify strategic options across different timeframes. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and investment choices, and captures the result as a horizon map, portfolio view, and initiatives per horizon.When growth ideas surface quickly, the temptation to build immediately instead of learning is high. A Growth Experiment frames an assumption so target group, lever, and measurement are clear before the first deployment.When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all.When two variants compete, discussions quickly decide by taste rather than effect. A/B Testing checks behavior under controlled conditions and separates real improvement from chance or expectation effects.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumLowHigh
Timedifferent
Halbtags-Workshop, dann iterativ1-2 Wochen1-5 Tage1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
3-121-6Nutzertraffic1-6
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncAsyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Horizon map, Portfolio view, Initiatives per horizon, Resource planExperiment card, Result summary, Next betInterest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning NoteExperiment results, Decision log, Learning summary
Tagsno overlap
StrategyInnovationPortfolioForesight
MarketingGrowthExperimentsLearning
ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth
ExperimentsGrowthAnalyticsValidation
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