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| Criterion |  Business Strategy Three Horizons |  Systems Thinking Futures Wheel |  Business Strategy Business Model Stress Test |  Business Strategy Business Model Canvas |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Three Horizons helps clarify strategic options across different timeframes. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and investment choices, and captures the result as a horizon map, portfolio view, and initiatives per horizon. | The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event. | A Business Model Stress Test checks how well a business model holds up under pressure and headwinds. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a stress-test report and action plan per scenario. | The Business Model Canvas condenses a business model to its key building blocks and assumptions. It makes variants quickly comparable and reveals gaps before validation or implementation begins. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | Halbtags-Workshop, dann iterativ | 60-120 min | Half day | 1-2 h |
Participantsdifferent | 3-12 | 3-10 | 3-8 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Horizon map, Portfolio view, Initiatives per horizon, Resource plan | Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic Signals | Stress Test Report, Action Plan per Scenario | Business Model Canvas, Assumption List, Business Hypotheses |
Tagsno overlap | StrategyInnovationPortfolioForesight | ForesightSystems thinkingSignals | StrategyBusiness modelRiskDiagnosis | Business modelStrategyValueInnovation |