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| Criterion |  Business Strategy Three Horizons |  Growth Funnel Analysis |  Product Discovery Assumption Mapping |  Product Discovery Smoke Test |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Three Horizons helps clarify strategic options across different timeframes. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and investment choices, and captures the result as a horizon map, portfolio view, and initiatives per horizon. | When many visitors or users drop off along the way, the reason behind the number often stays hidden. Funnel Analysis exposes these transitions and makes visible exactly where the path collapses. | When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first. | When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | Halbtags-Workshop, dann iterativ | 1-3 h | 45-60 min | 1-5 Tage |
Participantsdifferent | 3-12 | 1-5 | 2-8 | Nutzertraffic |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Async | Workshop + async | Async |
Outputdifferent | Horizon map, Portfolio view, Initiatives per horizon, Resource plan | Funnel report, Drop-off analysis, Optimization hypotheses | Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking | Interest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning Note |
Tagsno overlap | StrategyInnovationPortfolioForesight | AnalyticsConversionGrowth | AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation | ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth |