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Criterion
Paper illustration of Three Horizons with its method-specific working model.
Business Strategy
Three Horizons
Paper illustration for Flywheel.
Growth
Flywheel
Paper illustration for Smoke Test.
Product Discovery
Smoke Test
A/B Testing workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Growth
A/B Testing
Purposedifferent
Three Horizons helps clarify strategic options across different timeframes. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and investment choices, and captures the result as a horizon map, portfolio view, and initiatives per horizon.Growth often breaks down where a reinforcing mechanism builds up too much friction. A Flywheel shows the cycle of value, repetition, and reinforcement meant to sustain growth.When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all.When two variants compete, discussions quickly decide by taste rather than effect. A/B Testing checks behavior under controlled conditions and separates real improvement from chance or expectation effects.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumLowHigh
Timedifferent
Halbtags-Workshop, dann iterativ60-120 min1-5 Tage1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
3-123-8Nutzertraffic1-6
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshopAsyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Horizon map, Portfolio view, Initiatives per horizon, Resource planFlywheel Map, Friction Points, Growth Levers, Experiment BacklogInterest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning NoteExperiment results, Decision log, Learning summary
Tagsno overlap
StrategyInnovationPortfolioForesight
GrowthRetentionConversion
ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth
ExperimentsGrowthAnalyticsValidation
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