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Criterion
Paper illustration of Three Horizons with its method-specific working model.
Business Strategy
Three Horizons
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration of a Strategy Canvas with several value curves
Business Strategy
Blue Ocean Strategy Canvas
Purposedifferent
Three Horizons helps clarify strategic options across different timeframes. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and investment choices, and captures the result as a horizon map, portfolio view, and initiatives per horizon.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.The Blue Ocean Strategy Canvas shows how an offering is positioned relative to the market. Differentiation thereby becomes tangible in value factors instead of merely being claimed.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHighLowMedium
Timedifferent
Halbtags-Workshop, dann iterativ1-4 Wochen45-90 min2-4 h
Participantsdifferent
3-126-30 Experten2-83-10
Formatdifferent
WorkshopAsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Horizon map, Portfolio view, Initiatives per horizon, Resource planExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanStrategy Canvas, Value Curve, ERRC Actions
Tagsno overlap
StrategyInnovationPortfolioForesight
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
StrategyPositioningInnovationValue
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