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| Criterion |  Business Strategy Three Horizons |  Product Discovery Assumption Mapping |  Product Discovery Test Card |  Product Discovery Experiment Canvas |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Three Horizons helps clarify strategic options across different timeframes. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and investment choices, and captures the result as a horizon map, portfolio view, and initiatives per horizon. | When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first. | The Test Card turns a critical assumption into a testable claim and specifies in advance which result counts as success. | When experiments become unreadable after the fact, it arranges hypothesis, signal, and learning goal on a single canvas. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a Completed Experiment Canvas and a Success Metric. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | Halbtags-Workshop, dann iterativ | 45-60 min | 20-35 min | 30-60 min |
Participantsdifferent | 3-12 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 1-5 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Horizon map, Portfolio view, Initiatives per horizon, Resource plan | Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking | Test Card with a pre-set threshold | Completed Experiment Canvas, Success Metric |
Tagsno overlap | StrategyInnovationPortfolioForesight | AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis |