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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Theory of Change |  Systems Thinking Future Reality Tree |  Systems Thinking Evaporating Cloud |  Product Strategy DIBB |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Theory of Change translates a desired impact into a traceable chain of change. It makes assumptions, intermediate goals, and measurement points visible before a program is rolled out at scale. | A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation. | The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict. | DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report. |
Complexitydifferent | High | High | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 2-6 h | 2-4 h | 60-120 min | 1-2 h |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 | 3-8 | 2-8 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Theory of Change Map, Assumptions, Outcome Measures | Future Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved Injections | Conflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next Experiments | DIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning report |
Tagsno overlap | ImpactOutcomesSystems thinkingStrategy | Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange | Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking | StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis |