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| Criterion | ![]() Systems Thinking Theory of Change | ![]() Systems Thinking Evaporating Cloud | ![]() Systems Thinking Future Reality Tree | ![]() Decision Making Force Field Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Theory of Change translates a desired impact into a traceable chain of change. It makes assumptions, intermediate goals, and measurement points visible before a program is rolled out at scale. | The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict. | A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation. | In change initiatives, supporting and restraining forces sit at the table at the same time. Force Field Analysis makes these tensions explicit and shows where change can be pushed forward by strengthening or relieving. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | High | Low |
Timedifferent | 2-6 h | 60-120 min | 2-4 h | 45-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 | 2-8 | 3-8 | 3-12 |
Formatsame | Workshop | Workshop | Workshop | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Theory of Change Map, Assumptions, Outcome Measures | Conflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next Experiments | Future Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved Injections | Force Field Map, Change Levers, Risk Notes |
Tagsno overlap | ImpactOutcomesSystems thinkingStrategy | Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking | Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange | ChangeDecisionStrategy |



