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| Criterion |  Product Discovery Test Card |  Systems Thinking Evaporating Cloud |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |  Product Strategy DIBB |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The Test Card turns a critical assumption into a testable claim and specifies in advance which result counts as success. | The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict. | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. | DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | Medium | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 20-35 min | 60-120 min | 45-90 min | 1-2 h |
Participantsdifferent | 1-5 | 2-8 | 2-8 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Test Card with a pre-set threshold | Conflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next Experiments | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan | DIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning report |
Tagsno overlap | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis | Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery | StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis |