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Criterion
Systems Mapping method illustration showing its working structure
Systems Thinking
Systems Mapping
Paper illustration for Wideband Delphi.
Decision Making
Wideband Delphi
Paper illustration for Future Reality Tree.
Systems Thinking
Future Reality Tree
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Purposedifferent
Systems Mapping arranges elements, relationships, and boundaries so a complex field becomes legible at a glance. The overview stabilizes the overall picture before detail work or steering begins.A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes.A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHighHighHigh
Timedifferent
1-3 h1-4 h or multiple rounds2-4 h1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
3-124-12 Experten3-86-30 Experten
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshopAsync
Outputdifferent
System Map, Dependencies, Leverage PointsEstimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus NotesFuture Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved InjectionsExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes
Tagsno overlap
Systems thinkingMappingBoundariesChange
EstimationExpertsForecasting
Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
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