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| Criterion | ![]() Systems Thinking Systems Mapping | ![]() Product Discovery Smoke Test | ![]() Systems Thinking Future Reality Tree | ![]() Product Discovery Assumption Mapping |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Systems Mapping arranges elements, relationships, and boundaries so a complex field becomes legible at a glance. The overview stabilizes the overall picture before detail work or steering begins. | When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all. | A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation. | When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Low | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-3 h | 1-5 Tage | 2-4 h | 45-60 min |
Participantsdifferent | 3-12 | Nutzertraffic | 3-8 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | System Map, Dependencies, Leverage Points | Interest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning Note | Future Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved Injections | Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking |
Tagsno overlap | Systems thinkingMappingBoundariesChange | ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth | Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange | AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation |



