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Criterion
Systems Mapping method illustration showing its working structure
Systems Thinking
Systems Mapping
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Paper illustration for Current Reality Tree
Systems Thinking
Current Reality Tree
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Purposedifferent
Systems Mapping arranges elements, relationships, and boundaries so a complex field becomes legible at a glance. The overview stabilizes the overall picture before detail work or steering begins.In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.A Current Reality Tree condenses many symptoms into a few causal chains. The method makes visible which core problems drive several negative effects at once.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowHighLow
Timedifferent
1-3 h20–45 min2-6 h45-90 min
Participantsdifferent
3-12Small cross-functional group3-82-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
System Map, Dependencies, Leverage PointsRisk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption logCurrent Reality Tree, Core Problems, Intervention IdeasAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan
Tagsno overlap
Systems thinkingMappingBoundariesChange
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
Systems thinkingRoot causeConstraintsCausality
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
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