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Criterion
Systems Mapping method illustration showing its working structure
Systems Thinking
Systems Mapping
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration for OODA Loop.
Decision Making
OODA Loop
Purposedifferent
Systems Mapping arranges elements, relationships, and boundaries so a complex field becomes legible at a glance. The overview stabilizes the overall picture before detail work or steering begins.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.In dynamic situations, decisions become outdated faster than they can be prepared. The OODA Loop holds observing, orienting, deciding, and acting together as a recurring rhythm so reaction does not slide into inertia.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHighLowMedium
Timedifferent
1-3 h1-4 Wochen45-90 min15-60 min je Zyklus
Participantsdifferent
3-126-30 Experten2-81-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncAsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
System Map, Dependencies, Leverage PointsExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanSituation Assessment, Decision Loop, Action Updates
Tagsno overlap
Systems thinkingMappingBoundariesChange
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
DecisionChangeLearningStrategy
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