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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking System Dynamics Simulation |  Architecture Risk Storming |  Product Discovery Riskiest Assumption Test |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | System Dynamics Simulation makes assumptions about time, delay, and feedback testable through experiments. It draws relationships, patterns, and feedback loops. The result is captured as a simulation model and scenario reports. | Helps clarify architecture context, options, and consequences in concrete terms. It organizes technical context, alternatives, and consequences. The result is captured as an Annotated Diagram, a Prioritized Risk List, and an Action Backlog. | When an idea hinges on one critical unknown, it prioritizes testing that exact piece of uncertainty first. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a prioritized list of assumptions, a test plan, and a result report. | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Low | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | Mehrere Tage bis Wochen | 60-90 min | 1-2 Wochen pro Iteration | 45-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 1-5 Modellierende, Stakeholder asynchron | 4-12 | 2-6 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Simulation Model, Scenario Reports | Annotated Diagram, Prioritized Risk List, Action Backlog | Prioritized Assumption List, Test Plan, Results Report | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan |
Tagsno overlap | Systems thinkingDynamicsSimulationAnalysis | RiskArchitectureWorkshopValidation | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryAssumptions | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery |