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Selected:System Dynamics SimulationAssumption SurfacingARID (Active Reviews for Intermediate Designs)Assumption Mapping
| Criterion | ![]() Systems Thinking System Dynamics Simulation | ![]() Decision Making Assumption Surfacing | ![]() Architecture ARID (Active Reviews for Intermediate Designs) | ![]() Product Discovery Assumption Mapping |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | System Dynamics Simulation makes assumptions about time, delay, and feedback testable through experiments. It draws relationships, patterns, and feedback loops. The result is captured as a simulation model and scenario reports. | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. | ARID examines how well developers can work with a technical design. It focuses on a part of the system that can still be revised, between the architecture overview and the detailed specification. | When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Low | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | Mehrere Tage bis Wochen | 45-90 min | 2–4 h review as a planning range; preparation and evaluation additional | 45-60 min |
Participantsdifferent | 1-5 Modellierende, Stakeholder asynchron | 2-8 | Designers, developers as users, and facilitation | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Simulation Model, Scenario Reports | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan | Prioritized development tasks, Jointly produced code or pseudocode, Observed difficulties and open design questions, Proposed design revisions | Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking |
Tagsno overlap | Systems thinkingDynamicsSimulationAnalysis | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery | ArchitectureEngineeringFeedbackValidationTasks | AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation |



