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Criterion
Surveys method illustration showing its working structure
UX Research
Surveys
Paper illustration for Fault Tree Analysis.
Operations
Fault Tree Analysis
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Purposedifferent
When a topic needs to be validated broadly and many people can answer the same question, surveys gather structured feedback in a scalable form. Answers become comparable and segmentable instead of remaining merely anecdotal.For a critical top event with several possible triggers, the method logically models failure paths. It makes visible which combinations of conditions can lead to damage.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHighMediumLow
Timedifferent
3-14 Tage2-6 h45-60 min45-90 min
Participantsdifferent
50+3-82-82-8
Formatdifferent
AsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Survey Results, Charts, Segment InsightsFault Tree, Critical Paths, Cause Hypotheses, Control ActionsAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan
Tagsno overlap
QuantitativeResearchValidation
RiskRoot causeSafety
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
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