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Criterion
Paper illustration for Standard Work Analysis.
Operations
Standard Work Analysis
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Gemba Walk workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Operations
Gemba Walk
Purposedifferent
When the same task is done differently depending on the person, the method exposes the reliable core. It creates comparability without unnecessarily choking off needed latitude.On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.When there is uncertainty about the real course of a process, the method brings observation to the place where work happens. It combines perception, follow-up questions, and process knowledge so decisions rest on actual workflows instead of assumptions.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumMediumLow
Timedifferent
1-3 h15-45 min10-30 min je Item30-120 min
Participantsdifferent
2-61-81-82-6
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Standard Work Sheet, Deviation List, Improved Standard, Training NeedsPERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk NotesThree-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesObservation Notes, Improvement Ideas
Tagsno overlap
LeanProcessQuality
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
LeanObservationProcessOperations
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