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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Soft Systems Methodology |  Agile NoEstimates |  Systems Thinking VUCA Scan |  Decision Making Delphi Method |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Soft Systems Methodology helps explore unclear or politically charged problems systematically. Instead of forcing a quick answer, the method builds a shared understanding of perspectives and room for action. | When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules. | The VUCA Scan helps read difficult situations more precisely. Instead of treating unclarity as generally complicated, the method separates fast change, missing knowledge, systemic entanglement, and ambiguous interpretation. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Low | High |
Timedifferent | 0.5-3 Tage | laufend | 30-90 min | 1-4 Wochen |
Participantsdifferent | 5-15 | 2-12 | 1-10 | 6-30 Experten |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Async |
Outputdifferent | Rich Picture, Root Definitions, Conceptual Models, Change Agenda | Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules | VUCA Map, Response Options, Signal and Learning Plan | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes |
Tagsno overlap | Soft systemsComplexitySensemakingSystems thinking | EstimationForecastingFlow | SensemakingUncertaintyComplexityStrategyForesight | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy |