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Criterion
Paper illustration for Smoke Test.
Product Discovery
Smoke Test
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration of Riskiest Assumption Test with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Riskiest Assumption Test
A/B Testing workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Growth
A/B Testing
Purposedifferent
When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.When an idea hinges on one critical unknown, it prioritizes testing that exact piece of uncertainty first. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a prioritized list of assumptions, a test plan, and a result report.When two variants compete, discussions quickly decide by taste rather than effect. A/B Testing checks behavior under controlled conditions and separates real improvement from chance or expectation effects.
Complexitydifferent
LowLowMediumHigh
Timedifferent
1-5 Tage45-90 min1-2 Wochen pro Iteration1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
Nutzertraffic2-82-61-6
Formatdifferent
AsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Interest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning NoteAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanPrioritized Assumption List, Test Plan, Results ReportExperiment results, Decision log, Learning summary
Tagsno overlap
ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryAssumptions
ExperimentsGrowthAnalyticsValidation
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