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Criterion
Paper illustration for Smoke Test.
Product Discovery
Smoke Test
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration for Fault Tree Analysis.
Operations
Fault Tree Analysis
Paper illustration for Fake Door Test
Product Discovery
Fake Door Test
Purposedifferent
When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.For a critical top event with several possible triggers, the method logically models failure paths. It makes visible which combinations of conditions can lead to damage.When demand is still unclear, it measures interest in a feature before it is built. It separates real behavior from polite agreement and deliberately keeps build effort small.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumHighMedium
Timedifferent
1-5 Tage45-60 min2-6 h1-5 Tage
Participantsdifferent
Nutzertraffic2-83-8Nutzertraffic
Formatdifferent
AsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Interest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning NoteAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingFault Tree, Critical Paths, Cause Hypotheses, Control ActionsClick Data, Interest Signal, Learning Decision
Tagsno overlap
ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
RiskRoot causeSafety
ValidationExperimentsDemandDiscovery
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