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Criterion
Paper illustration of Shape Up with its method-specific working model.
Delivery
Shape Up
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Purposedifferent
Shape Up helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow. It makes work boundaries and decisions explicit and captures results as pitches, bet-table decisions, and hill charts.A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumLow
Timedifferent
6 Wochen Cycle + 2 Wochen Cool-Down10-30 min je Item5-20 min
Participantsdifferent
2-4 pro Pitch1-83-20
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Pitches, Bet-table decisions, Hill charts, Cooldown outcomesThree-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesEffort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets
Tagsno overlap
PlanningDeliveryAutonomy
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
EstimationEffortRisk
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Often compared together

Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Paper illustration for Communication Plan
Delivery
Communication Plan
Paper illustration for Monte Carlo Forecasting.
Delivery
Monte Carlo Forecasting