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Criterion
Scenario Planning method illustration showing its working structure
Business Strategy
Scenario Planning
Paper illustration for Wideband Delphi.
Decision Making
Wideband Delphi
Gap Analysis method illustration showing its working structure
Business Strategy
GAP Analysis
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Purposedifferent
Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path.A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes.GAP Analysis compares the current state with a target picture and makes the distance manageable. It becomes useful when, ahead of new initiatives, it must become clear which capabilities, processes, or resources are missing.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.
Complexitydifferent
HighHighMediumHigh
Timedifferent
0.5-2 Tage1-4 h or multiple rounds1-3 h1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
4-124-12 Experten2-86-30 Experten
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust OptionsEstimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus NotesGap Matrix, Action Plan, Risk NotesExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes
Tagsno overlap
StrategyUncertaintyPlanning
EstimationExpertsForecasting
StrategyAnalysisPlanning
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
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