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| Criterion |  Business Strategy Scenario Planning |  Systems Thinking VUCA Scan |  Systems Thinking Soft Systems Methodology |  Business Strategy GAP Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path. | The VUCA Scan helps read difficult situations more precisely. Instead of treating unclarity as generally complicated, the method separates fast change, missing knowledge, systemic entanglement, and ambiguous interpretation. | Soft Systems Methodology helps explore unclear or politically charged problems systematically. Instead of forcing a quick answer, the method builds a shared understanding of perspectives and room for action. | GAP Analysis compares the current state with a target picture and makes the distance manageable. It becomes useful when, ahead of new initiatives, it must become clear which capabilities, processes, or resources are missing. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Low | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 0.5-2 Tage | 30-90 min | 0.5-3 Tage | 1-3 h |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 | 1-10 | 5-15 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust Options | VUCA Map, Response Options, Signal and Learning Plan | Rich Picture, Root Definitions, Conceptual Models, Change Agenda | Gap Matrix, Action Plan, Risk Notes |
Tagsno overlap | StrategyUncertaintyPlanning | SensemakingUncertaintyComplexityStrategyForesight | Soft systemsComplexitySensemakingSystems thinking | StrategyAnalysisPlanning |