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| Criterion |  Business Strategy Scenario Planning |  Business Strategy Three Horizons |  Business Strategy GAP Analysis |  Business Strategy Business Model Canvas |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path. | Three Horizons helps clarify strategic options across different timeframes. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and investment choices, and captures the result as a horizon map, portfolio view, and initiatives per horizon. | GAP Analysis compares the current state with a target picture and makes the distance manageable. It becomes useful when, ahead of new initiatives, it must become clear which capabilities, processes, or resources are missing. | The Business Model Canvas condenses a business model to its key building blocks and assumptions. It makes variants quickly comparable and reveals gaps before validation or implementation begins. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 0.5-2 Tage | Halbtags-Workshop, dann iterativ | 1-3 h | 1-2 h |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 | 3-12 | 2-8 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust Options | Horizon map, Portfolio view, Initiatives per horizon, Resource plan | Gap Matrix, Action Plan, Risk Notes | Business Model Canvas, Assumption List, Business Hypotheses |
Tags1 shared | StrategyUncertaintyPlanning | StrategyInnovationPortfolioForesight | StrategyAnalysisPlanning | Business modelStrategyValueInnovation |