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| Criterion |  Business Strategy Scenario Planning |  Systems Thinking Theory of Change |  Operations ALPEN Method |  Product Strategy GIST Planning |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path. | Theory of Change translates a desired impact into a traceable chain of change. It makes assumptions, intermediate goals, and measurement points visible before a program is rolled out at scale. | With an overloaded day full of too many tasks, a realistic picture of the day emerges. The method connects estimating, deciding, and buffer thinking so planning fits available energy and time. | GIST Planning helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities. It links customer value, product logic, and decision priorities, and captures the result as goals, an idea bank, and a step-project list. |
Complexitydifferent | High | High | Low | Medium |
Timedifferent | 0.5-2 Tage | 2-6 h | 10-20 min daily | Wochen bis Monate je Goal |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 | 4-12 | 1 | 3-10 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop | Async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust Options | Theory of Change Map, Assumptions, Outcome Measures | Daily Plan, Time Estimates, Review Notes | Goals, Idea bank, Step-project list, Tasks, Learning reports |
Tagsno overlap | StrategyUncertaintyPlanning | ImpactOutcomesSystems thinkingStrategy | PlanningTime managementProductivityOperations | RoadmapOutcomesPlanningExperiments |