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Criterion
Scenario Planning method illustration showing its working structure
Business Strategy
Scenario Planning
Paper illustration of a Test Card with four fields for hypothesis, test, metric, and success threshold.
Product Discovery
Test Card
Paper illustration of a Learning Card with four fields for hypothesis, observation, insight, and action.
Product Discovery
Learning Card
Paper illustration for Fake Door Test
Product Discovery
Fake Door Test
Purposedifferent
Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path.The Test Card turns a critical assumption into a testable claim and specifies in advance which result counts as success.The Learning Card connects traceable test results to a reasoned next action while keeping the limits of the insight visible.When demand is still unclear, it measures interest in a feature before it is built. It separates real behavior from polite agreement and deliberately keeps build effort small.
Complexitydifferent
HighLowLowMedium
Timedifferent
0.5-2 Tage20-35 min25-40 min1-5 Tage
Participantsdifferent
4-121-51-5Nutzertraffic
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust OptionsTest Card with a pre-set thresholdLearning Card with evidence and next actionClick Data, Interest Signal, Learning Decision
Tagsno overlap
StrategyUncertaintyPlanning
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryLearning
ValidationExperimentsDemandDiscovery
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