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| Criterion |  Business Strategy Scenario Planning |  Systems Thinking Soft Systems Methodology |  Systems Thinking Futures Wheel |  Product Strategy Impact Mapping |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path. | Soft Systems Methodology helps explore unclear or politically charged problems systematically. Instead of forcing a quick answer, the method builds a shared understanding of perspectives and room for action. | The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event. | When a goal needs to be connected to several possible paths, it shows chains of impact instead of feature lists. It connects business goal, behavior change, and measures. |
Complexitydifferent | High | High | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 0.5-2 Tage | 0.5-3 Tage | 60-120 min | 45-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 | 5-15 | 3-10 | 3-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust Options | Rich Picture, Root Definitions, Conceptual Models, Change Agenda | Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic Signals | Impact Map, Outcome Hypotheses, Delivery Options |
Tagsno overlap | StrategyUncertaintyPlanning | Soft systemsComplexitySensemakingSystems thinking | ForesightSystems thinkingSignals | OutcomesStrategyBehaviorPlanning |