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| Criterion |  Business Strategy Scenario Planning |  Systems Thinking Soft Systems Methodology |  Systems Thinking Future Reality Tree |  Systems Thinking VUCA Scan |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path. | Soft Systems Methodology helps explore unclear or politically charged problems systematically. Instead of forcing a quick answer, the method builds a shared understanding of perspectives and room for action. | A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation. | The VUCA Scan helps read difficult situations more precisely. Instead of treating unclarity as generally complicated, the method separates fast change, missing knowledge, systemic entanglement, and ambiguous interpretation. |
Complexitydifferent | High | High | High | Low |
Timedifferent | 0.5-2 Tage | 0.5-3 Tage | 2-4 h | 30-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 | 5-15 | 3-8 | 1-10 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust Options | Rich Picture, Root Definitions, Conceptual Models, Change Agenda | Future Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved Injections | VUCA Map, Response Options, Signal and Learning Plan |
Tagsno overlap | StrategyUncertaintyPlanning | Soft systemsComplexitySensemakingSystems thinking | Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange | SensemakingUncertaintyComplexityStrategyForesight |