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Criterion
Scenario Planning method illustration showing its working structure
Business Strategy
Scenario Planning
Paper illustration of a branching tree with an outcome at its root, customer opportunities, solution options and small experiment cards.
Product Discovery
Opportunity Solution Tree
Paper illustration of a branching impact map with a Why goal at the root, actor circles, How behavior changes and What options.
Product Strategy
Impact Mapping
Paper illustration of Experiment Canvas with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Experiment Canvas
Purposedifferent
Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path.When discovery keeps swinging between goals, ideas, and learning loops, it creates clear steering logic. It connects the desired outcome, opportunities, and experiments into a legible structure.When a goal needs to be connected to several possible paths, it shows chains of impact instead of feature lists. It connects business goal, behavior change, and measures.When experiments become unreadable after the fact, it arranges hypothesis, signal, and learning goal on a single canvas. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a Completed Experiment Canvas and a Success Metric.
Complexitydifferent
HighMediumMediumLow
Timedifferent
0.5-2 Tage1-2 h Setup, laufend45-90 min30-60 min
Participantsdifferent
4-122-63-81-5
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust OptionsOpportunity Solution Tree, Experiment Backlog, Learning LogImpact Map, Outcome Hypotheses, Delivery OptionsCompleted Experiment Canvas, Success Metric
Tagsno overlap
StrategyUncertaintyPlanning
DiscoveryOutcomesExperimentsOpportunity
OutcomesStrategyBehaviorPlanning
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis
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