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Criterion
Scenario Planning method illustration showing its working structure
Business Strategy
Scenario Planning
Paper illustration of a branching tree with an outcome at its root, customer opportunities, solution options and small experiment cards.
Product Discovery
Opportunity Solution Tree
Paper illustration for Fake Door Test
Product Discovery
Fake Door Test
Paper illustration of a Learning Card with four fields for hypothesis, observation, insight, and action.
Product Discovery
Learning Card
Purposedifferent
Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path.When discovery keeps swinging between goals, ideas, and learning loops, it creates clear steering logic. It connects the desired outcome, opportunities, and experiments into a legible structure.When demand is still unclear, it measures interest in a feature before it is built. It separates real behavior from polite agreement and deliberately keeps build effort small.The Learning Card connects traceable test results to a reasoned next action while keeping the limits of the insight visible.
Complexitydifferent
HighMediumMediumLow
Timedifferent
0.5-2 Tage1-2 h Setup, laufend1-5 Tage25-40 min
Participantsdifferent
4-122-6Nutzertraffic1-5
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncAsyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust OptionsOpportunity Solution Tree, Experiment Backlog, Learning LogClick Data, Interest Signal, Learning DecisionLearning Card with evidence and next action
Tagsno overlap
StrategyUncertaintyPlanning
DiscoveryOutcomesExperimentsOpportunity
ValidationExperimentsDemandDiscovery
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryLearning
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