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Criterion
Scenario Planning method illustration showing its working structure
Business Strategy
Scenario Planning
Paper illustration of a branching tree with an outcome at its root, customer opportunities, solution options and small experiment cards.
Product Discovery
Opportunity Solution Tree
Paper illustration for Fake Door Test
Product Discovery
Fake Door Test
Paper illustration of Experiment Canvas with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Experiment Canvas
Purposedifferent
Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path.When discovery keeps swinging between goals, ideas, and learning loops, it creates clear steering logic. It connects the desired outcome, opportunities, and experiments into a legible structure.When demand is still unclear, it measures interest in a feature before it is built. It separates real behavior from polite agreement and deliberately keeps build effort small.When experiments become unreadable after the fact, it arranges hypothesis, signal, and learning goal on a single canvas. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a Completed Experiment Canvas and a Success Metric.
Complexitydifferent
HighMediumMediumLow
Timedifferent
0.5-2 Tage1-2 h Setup, laufend1-5 Tage30-60 min
Participantsdifferent
4-122-6Nutzertraffic1-5
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncAsyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust OptionsOpportunity Solution Tree, Experiment Backlog, Learning LogClick Data, Interest Signal, Learning DecisionCompleted Experiment Canvas, Success Metric
Tagsno overlap
StrategyUncertaintyPlanning
DiscoveryOutcomesExperimentsOpportunity
ValidationExperimentsDemandDiscovery
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis
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