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Criterion
Scenario Planning method illustration showing its working structure
Business Strategy
Scenario Planning
Paper illustration of a branching tree with an outcome at its root, customer opportunities, solution options and small experiment cards.
Product Discovery
Opportunity Solution Tree
Paper illustration of Experiment Canvas with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Experiment Canvas
Paper illustration of Hypothesis Prioritization Canvas with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Hypothesis Prioritization Canvas
Purposedifferent
Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path.When discovery keeps swinging between goals, ideas, and learning loops, it creates clear steering logic. It connects the desired outcome, opportunities, and experiments into a legible structure.When experiments become unreadable after the fact, it arranges hypothesis, signal, and learning goal on a single canvas. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a Completed Experiment Canvas and a Success Metric.When many hypotheses compete for attention, it brings order to their learning sequence and importance. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a prioritization canvas and a hypothesis backlog.
Complexitydifferent
HighMediumLowMedium
Timedifferent
0.5-2 Tage1-2 h Setup, laufend30-60 min60-90 min
Participantsdifferent
4-122-61-53-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust OptionsOpportunity Solution Tree, Experiment Backlog, Learning LogCompleted Experiment Canvas, Success MetricPrioritization Canvas, Hypothesis Backlog
Tagsno overlap
StrategyUncertaintyPlanning
DiscoveryOutcomesExperimentsOpportunity
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis
ExperimentsPrioritizationDiscoveryHypothesis
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