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Criterion
Scenario Planning method illustration showing its working structure
Business Strategy
Scenario Planning
Paper illustration for OODA Loop.
Decision Making
OODA Loop
Paper illustration for Change Analysis.
Operations
Change Analysis
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Purposedifferent
Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path.In dynamic situations, decisions become outdated faster than they can be prepared. The OODA Loop holds observing, orienting, deciding, and acting together as a recurring rhythm so reaction does not slide into inertia.For a deviation after a change, the method isolates the influence of the altered condition. It narrows down which differences are relevant and which are just accompanying noise.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.
Complexitydifferent
HighMediumMediumHigh
Timedifferent
0.5-2 Tage15-60 min je Zyklus45-120 min1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
4-121-82-66-30 Experten
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust OptionsSituation Assessment, Decision Loop, Action UpdatesChange Matrix, Cause Hypotheses, Validation Questions, Action ListExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes
Tagsno overlap
StrategyUncertaintyPlanning
DecisionChangeLearningStrategy
ChangeRoot causeTroubleshootingComparison
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
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