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| Criterion |  Business Strategy Scenario Planning |  Agile NoEstimates |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Decision Making Constraint Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path. | When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | When an initiative stalls, the limit often lies not in the idea but in hard or soft boundary conditions. Constraint Analysis separates these limits and shows which of them can actually be shaped. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | High | Low |
Timedifferent | 0.5-2 Tage | laufend | 1-4 Wochen | 30-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 | 2-12 | 6-30 Experten | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust Options | Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Constraint List, Hard/Soft Classification, Option Impact Notes, Decision Boundaries |
Tagsno overlap | StrategyUncertaintyPlanning | EstimationForecastingFlow | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | ConstraintsDecisionPlanningOptions |