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Criterion
Scenario Planning method illustration showing its working structure
Business Strategy
Scenario Planning
Paper illustration of Leverage Points with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
Leverage Points
Paper illustration for OODA Loop.
Decision Making
OODA Loop
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Purposedifferent
Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path.Leverage Points show exactly where interventions in a system produce a disproportionate effect. It draws relationships, patterns, and feedback loops. The result is captured as a leverage map and action strategy.In dynamic situations, decisions become outdated faster than they can be prepared. The OODA Loop holds observing, orienting, deciding, and acting together as a recurring rhythm so reaction does not slide into inertia.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.
Complexitydifferent
HighHighMediumHigh
Timedifferent
0.5-2 TageHalf day15-60 min je Zyklus1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
4-123-121-86-30 Experten
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshopWorkshop + asyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust OptionsLeverage Map, Action StrategySituation Assessment, Decision Loop, Action UpdatesExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes
Tags1 shared
StrategyUncertaintyPlanning
Systems thinkingChangeStrategy
DecisionChangeLearningStrategy
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
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