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Criterion
Scenario Planning method illustration showing its working structure
Business Strategy
Scenario Planning
Paper illustration of Leverage Points with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
Leverage Points
Paper illustration of Barrier Analysis with its method-specific working model.
Operations
Barrier Analysis
Paper illustration of MORT Analysis with its method-specific working model.
Operations
MORT Analysis
Purposedifferent
Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path.Leverage Points show exactly where interventions in a system produce a disproportionate effect. It draws relationships, patterns, and feedback loops. The result is captured as a leverage map and action strategy.For a risk that can only be managed through multiple layers of protection, the method examines the effectiveness of each barrier. It shows where safeguards are missing, too weak, or fail under real conditions.For a safety-relevant event or a system with high protection requirements, the method examines where controls failed. It exposes both technical and organizational gaps.
Complexitydifferent
HighHighMediumHigh
Timedifferent
0.5-2 TageHalf day2-4 hMehrere Tage bis Wochen
Participantsdifferent
4-123-122-62-6
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust OptionsLeverage Map, Action StrategyBarrier Inventory, Failure Analysis per Barrier, Action BacklogMORT Worksheets, Findings per Branch, Corrective Actions, Systemic Recommendations
Tagsno overlap
StrategyUncertaintyPlanning
Systems thinkingChangeStrategy
Root causeSafetyIncident
Root causeSafetySystemicIncident
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