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| Criterion |  Business Strategy Scenario Planning |  Operations Kepner-Tregoe |  Operations ALPEN Method |  Operations 5 Whys |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path. | For a disturbance that's hard to pin down, the method cleanly separates problem, cause, and decision. It reduces mixing when symptoms allow several interpretations. | With an overloaded day full of too many tasks, a realistic picture of the day emerges. The method connects estimating, deciding, and buffer thinking so planning fits available energy and time. | For a single, hard-to-explain deviation, the method exposes the causal chain behind the visible symptom. It keeps the cause open until a controllable condition emerges instead of a mere description. |
Complexitydifferent | High | High | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 0.5-2 Tage | 2-8 h | 10-20 min daily | 15-30 min |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 | 2-8 | 1 | 2-6 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust Options | Problem Analysis, Decision Analysis, Risk Plan | Daily Plan, Time Estimates, Review Notes | Root cause notes, Countermeasures |
Tagsno overlap | StrategyUncertaintyPlanning | Problem solvingRoot causeDecisionOperations | PlanningTime managementProductivityOperations | Root causeIncidentLeanProblem solving |