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| Criterion |  Business Strategy Scenario Planning |  Systems Thinking Intervention Mapping |  Product Strategy Impact Mapping |  Systems Thinking Theory of Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path. | Intervention Mapping translates a need for change into a planned, evaluable program. The method connects target group, determinants, actions, and measurement into a traceable chain. | When a goal needs to be connected to several possible paths, it shows chains of impact instead of feature lists. It connects business goal, behavior change, and measures. | Theory of Change translates a desired impact into a traceable chain of change. It makes assumptions, intermediate goals, and measurement points visible before a program is rolled out at scale. |
Complexitydifferent | High | High | Medium | High |
Timedifferent | 0.5-2 Tage | 1-5 Tage | 45-90 min | 2-6 h |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 | 4-12 | 3-8 | 4-12 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust Options | Logic Model, Change Objectives, Intervention Components, Evaluation Plan | Impact Map, Outcome Hypotheses, Delivery Options | Theory of Change Map, Assumptions, Outcome Measures |
Tagsno overlap | StrategyUncertaintyPlanning | ChangeSystems thinkingCapability | OutcomesStrategyBehaviorPlanning | ImpactOutcomesSystems thinkingStrategy |