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Criterion
Scenario Planning method illustration showing its working structure
Business Strategy
Scenario Planning
Paper illustration of a branching impact map with a Why goal at the root, actor circles, How behavior changes and What options.
Product Strategy
Impact Mapping
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Gap Analysis method illustration showing its working structure
Business Strategy
GAP Analysis
Purposedifferent
Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path.When a goal needs to be connected to several possible paths, it shows chains of impact instead of feature lists. It connects business goal, behavior change, and measures.On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.GAP Analysis compares the current state with a target picture and makes the distance manageable. It becomes useful when, ahead of new initiatives, it must become clear which capabilities, processes, or resources are missing.
Complexitydifferent
HighMediumMediumMedium
Timedifferent
0.5-2 Tage45-90 min15-45 min1-3 h
Participantsdifferent
4-123-81-82-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust OptionsImpact Map, Outcome Hypotheses, Delivery OptionsPERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk NotesGap Matrix, Action Plan, Risk Notes
Tagsno overlap
StrategyUncertaintyPlanning
OutcomesStrategyBehaviorPlanning
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
StrategyAnalysisPlanning
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