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Criterion
Scenario Planning method illustration showing its working structure
Business Strategy
Scenario Planning
Paper illustration of a branching impact map with a Why goal at the root, actor circles, How behavior changes and What options.
Product Strategy
Impact Mapping
Paper illustration of the Force Field Analysis working structure.
Decision Making
Force Field Analysis
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Purposedifferent
Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path.When a goal needs to be connected to several possible paths, it shows chains of impact instead of feature lists. It connects business goal, behavior change, and measures.In change initiatives, supporting and restraining forces sit at the table at the same time. Force Field Analysis makes these tensions explicit and shows where change can be pushed forward by strengthening or relieving.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.
Complexitydifferent
HighMediumLowHigh
Timedifferent
0.5-2 Tage45-90 min45-90 min1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
4-123-83-126-30 Experten
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshopWorkshopAsync
Outputdifferent
Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust OptionsImpact Map, Outcome Hypotheses, Delivery OptionsForce Field Map, Change Levers, Risk NotesExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes
Tags1 shared
StrategyUncertaintyPlanning
OutcomesStrategyBehaviorPlanning
ChangeDecisionStrategy
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
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