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Criterion
Scenario Planning method illustration showing its working structure
Business Strategy
Scenario Planning
Paper illustration of a branching impact map with a Why goal at the root, actor circles, How behavior changes and What options.
Product Strategy
Impact Mapping
A/B Testing workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Growth
A/B Testing
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Purposedifferent
Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path.When a goal needs to be connected to several possible paths, it shows chains of impact instead of feature lists. It connects business goal, behavior change, and measures.When two variants compete, discussions quickly decide by taste rather than effect. A/B Testing checks behavior under controlled conditions and separates real improvement from chance or expectation effects.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.
Complexitydifferent
HighMediumHighMedium
Timedifferent
0.5-2 Tage45-90 min1-4 Wochen45-60 min
Participantsdifferent
4-123-81-62-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshopAsyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust OptionsImpact Map, Outcome Hypotheses, Delivery OptionsExperiment results, Decision log, Learning summaryAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking
Tagsno overlap
StrategyUncertaintyPlanning
OutcomesStrategyBehaviorPlanning
ExperimentsGrowthAnalyticsValidation
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
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