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| Criterion |  Business Strategy Scenario Planning |  Product Strategy GIST Planning |  Product Strategy Impact Mapping |  Systems Thinking Theory of Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path. | GIST Planning helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities. It links customer value, product logic, and decision priorities, and captures the result as goals, an idea bank, and a step-project list. | When a goal needs to be connected to several possible paths, it shows chains of impact instead of feature lists. It connects business goal, behavior change, and measures. | Theory of Change translates a desired impact into a traceable chain of change. It makes assumptions, intermediate goals, and measurement points visible before a program is rolled out at scale. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Medium | High |
Timedifferent | 0.5-2 Tage | Wochen bis Monate je Goal | 45-90 min | 2-6 h |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 | 3-10 | 3-8 | 4-12 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust Options | Goals, Idea bank, Step-project list, Tasks, Learning reports | Impact Map, Outcome Hypotheses, Delivery Options | Theory of Change Map, Assumptions, Outcome Measures |
Tagsno overlap | StrategyUncertaintyPlanning | RoadmapOutcomesPlanningExperiments | OutcomesStrategyBehaviorPlanning | ImpactOutcomesSystems thinkingStrategy |