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| Criterion |  Business Strategy Scenario Planning |  Product Strategy GIST Planning |  Growth A/B Testing |  Product Discovery Smoke Test |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path. | GIST Planning helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities. It links customer value, product logic, and decision priorities, and captures the result as goals, an idea bank, and a step-project list. | When two variants compete, discussions quickly decide by taste rather than effect. A/B Testing checks behavior under controlled conditions and separates real improvement from chance or expectation effects. | When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | High | Low |
Timedifferent | 0.5-2 Tage | Wochen bis Monate je Goal | 1-4 Wochen | 1-5 Tage |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 | 3-10 | 1-6 | Nutzertraffic |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Async | Async |
Outputdifferent | Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust Options | Goals, Idea bank, Step-project list, Tasks, Learning reports | Experiment results, Decision log, Learning summary | Interest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning Note |
Tagsno overlap | StrategyUncertaintyPlanning | RoadmapOutcomesPlanningExperiments | ExperimentsGrowthAnalyticsValidation | ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth |