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| Criterion |  Business Strategy Scenario Planning |  Business Strategy GAP Analysis |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Decision Making Force Field Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path. | GAP Analysis compares the current state with a target picture and makes the distance manageable. It becomes useful when, ahead of new initiatives, it must become clear which capabilities, processes, or resources are missing. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | In change initiatives, supporting and restraining forces sit at the table at the same time. Force Field Analysis makes these tensions explicit and shows where change can be pushed forward by strengthening or relieving. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | High | Low |
Timedifferent | 0.5-2 Tage | 1-3 h | 1-4 Wochen | 45-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 | 2-8 | 6-30 Experten | 3-12 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust Options | Gap Matrix, Action Plan, Risk Notes | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Force Field Map, Change Levers, Risk Notes |
Tags1 shared | StrategyUncertaintyPlanning | StrategyAnalysisPlanning | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | ChangeDecisionStrategy |