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Criterion
Scenario Planning method illustration showing its working structure
Business Strategy
Scenario Planning
Gap Analysis method illustration showing its working structure
Business Strategy
GAP Analysis
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration of Business Model Stress Test with its method-specific working model.
Business Strategy
Business Model Stress Test
Purposedifferent
Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path.GAP Analysis compares the current state with a target picture and makes the distance manageable. It becomes useful when, ahead of new initiatives, it must become clear which capabilities, processes, or resources are missing.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.A Business Model Stress Test checks how well a business model holds up under pressure and headwinds. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a stress-test report and action plan per scenario.
Complexitydifferent
HighMediumMediumHigh
Timedifferent
0.5-2 Tage1-3 h45-60 minHalf day
Participantsdifferent
4-122-82-83-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust OptionsGap Matrix, Action Plan, Risk NotesAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingStress Test Report, Action Plan per Scenario
Tagsno overlap
StrategyUncertaintyPlanning
StrategyAnalysisPlanning
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
StrategyBusiness modelRiskDiagnosis
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