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| Criterion |  Business Strategy Scenario Planning |  Systems Thinking Futures Wheel |  Decision Making OODA Loop |  Systems Thinking Leverage Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path. | The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event. | In dynamic situations, decisions become outdated faster than they can be prepared. The OODA Loop holds observing, orienting, deciding, and acting together as a recurring rhythm so reaction does not slide into inertia. | Leverage Points show exactly where interventions in a system produce a disproportionate effect. It draws relationships, patterns, and feedback loops. The result is captured as a leverage map and action strategy. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Medium | High |
Timedifferent | 0.5-2 Tage | 60-120 min | 15-60 min je Zyklus | Half day |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 | 3-10 | 1-8 | 3-12 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust Options | Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic Signals | Situation Assessment, Decision Loop, Action Updates | Leverage Map, Action Strategy |
Tagsno overlap | StrategyUncertaintyPlanning | ForesightSystems thinkingSignals | DecisionChangeLearningStrategy | Systems thinkingChangeStrategy |