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| Criterion |  Business Strategy Scenario Planning |  Systems Thinking Futures Wheel |  Decision Making Force Field Analysis |  Systems Thinking VUCA Scan |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path. | The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event. | In change initiatives, supporting and restraining forces sit at the table at the same time. Force Field Analysis makes these tensions explicit and shows where change can be pushed forward by strengthening or relieving. | The VUCA Scan helps read difficult situations more precisely. Instead of treating unclarity as generally complicated, the method separates fast change, missing knowledge, systemic entanglement, and ambiguous interpretation. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 0.5-2 Tage | 60-120 min | 45-90 min | 30-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 | 3-10 | 3-12 | 1-10 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust Options | Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic Signals | Force Field Map, Change Levers, Risk Notes | VUCA Map, Response Options, Signal and Learning Plan |
Tagsno overlap | StrategyUncertaintyPlanning | ForesightSystems thinkingSignals | ChangeDecisionStrategy | SensemakingUncertaintyComplexityStrategyForesight |