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| Criterion |  Business Strategy Scenario Planning |  Systems Thinking Futures Wheel |  Decision Making Force Field Analysis |  Systems Thinking Leverage Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path. | The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event. | In change initiatives, supporting and restraining forces sit at the table at the same time. Force Field Analysis makes these tensions explicit and shows where change can be pushed forward by strengthening or relieving. | Leverage Points show exactly where interventions in a system produce a disproportionate effect. It draws relationships, patterns, and feedback loops. The result is captured as a leverage map and action strategy. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Low | High |
Timedifferent | 0.5-2 Tage | 60-120 min | 45-90 min | Half day |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 | 3-10 | 3-12 | 3-12 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust Options | Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic Signals | Force Field Map, Change Levers, Risk Notes | Leverage Map, Action Strategy |
Tagsno overlap | StrategyUncertaintyPlanning | ForesightSystems thinkingSignals | ChangeDecisionStrategy | Systems thinkingChangeStrategy |