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| Criterion |  Business Strategy Scenario Planning |  Product Discovery Fake Door Test |  Product Discovery Smoke Test |  Product Discovery Experiment Canvas |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path. | When demand is still unclear, it measures interest in a feature before it is built. It separates real behavior from polite agreement and deliberately keeps build effort small. | When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all. | When experiments become unreadable after the fact, it arranges hypothesis, signal, and learning goal on a single canvas. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a Completed Experiment Canvas and a Success Metric. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 0.5-2 Tage | 1-5 Tage | 1-5 Tage | 30-60 min |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 | Nutzertraffic | Nutzertraffic | 1-5 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Async | Async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust Options | Click Data, Interest Signal, Learning Decision | Interest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning Note | Completed Experiment Canvas, Success Metric |
Tagsno overlap | StrategyUncertaintyPlanning | ValidationExperimentsDemandDiscovery | ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis |