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| Criterion |  Business Strategy Scenario Planning |  Systems Thinking Evaporating Cloud |  Systems Thinking Future Reality Tree |  Decision Making Force Field Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path. | The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict. | A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation. | In change initiatives, supporting and restraining forces sit at the table at the same time. Force Field Analysis makes these tensions explicit and shows where change can be pushed forward by strengthening or relieving. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | High | Low |
Timedifferent | 0.5-2 Tage | 60-120 min | 2-4 h | 45-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 | 2-8 | 3-8 | 3-12 |
Formatsame | Workshop | Workshop | Workshop | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust Options | Conflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next Experiments | Future Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved Injections | Force Field Map, Change Levers, Risk Notes |
Tagsno overlap | StrategyUncertaintyPlanning | Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking | Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange | ChangeDecisionStrategy |